Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1984Releases tracked
739High impact
293Beat forecast
232Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Wednesday, July 1, 2026

37 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Bond Investment -280.1B -- 199.7B Medium impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks -1816.5B -- 479.4B Medium impact
7:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean CPI MoM 0.10% 0.10% 0.50% High impact In line
7:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean CPI YoY 3.20% 3.20% 3.10% High impact In line
6:45 PM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ New Zealand New Zealand Building Consents -4.0% -- 10.9% Low impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Crude Oil Inventories -3.775M -2.262M -6.088M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Distillate Inventories 2.483M 1.00M 3.064M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Gasoline Inventories -2.333M -0.861M 2.064M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories 0.709M -- -1.077M Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US ISM Mfg. New Orders Index 56.0 57.0 56.8 Low impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US ISM Manufacturing PMI 53.3 53.9 54.0 High impact Miss
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US ISM Mfg. Prices Paid 73.0 77.5 82.1 Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Construction Spending MoM 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US ISM Mfg. Employment Index 49.7 48.8 48.6 Low impact
9:45 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US S&P Manufacturing PMI Final 53.9 55.7 55.7 High impact Miss
8:15 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US ADP Employment Change 98k 120k 122k Medium impact Miss
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US MBA Mortgage Applications 0.0% -- 1.0% Medium impact
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate 6.57% -- 6.59% High impact
5:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German 7 Yr Bund Yield 2.68% -- 2.80% Low impact
5:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German 7 yr Bund Bid-to-Cover 1.2 -- 2.4 Low impact
5:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Challenger Layoffs 45.849k -- 97.006k Low impact
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone CPI YoY Flash 2.8% 3.0% 3.2% High impact Beat
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone CPI MoM Flash -0.1% 0.1% 0.1% High impact Beat
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Core CPI YoY Flash 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% High impact Beat
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Manufacturing PMI Final 52.5 53.1 53.1 High impact Miss
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Final 51.4 51.3 51.3 High impact Beat
3:55 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Manufacturing PMI Final 50.3 50.0 50.0 High impact Beat
3:50 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French Manufacturing PMI 51.2 50.7 50.7 High impact Beat
3:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Switzerland Swiss Manufacturing PMI 54.3 56.5 57.3 Medium impact Miss
3:15 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish Manufacturing PMI 49.7 51.0 51.2 Medium impact Miss
2:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Switzerland Swiss Retail Sales YoY 3.5% -- 1.6% High impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Nationwide House Price MoM 0.0% 0.1% -0.6% High impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Nationwide House Price YoY 2.2% 2.5% 1.7% High impact
1:00 AM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Consumer Confidence 33.8 34.1 33.6 Medium impact Miss
12:30 AM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Netherlands Dutch Retail Sales YoY 1.2% -- 3.0% High impact
12:30 AM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Netherlands Dutch GDP QoQ Final SA 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% Medium impact Beat
12:30 AM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Netherlands Dutch GDP YoY Final NSA 1.4% -- 1.2% Medium impact

Tuesday, June 30, 2026

3 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:45 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese Manufacturing PMI 51.7 52.0 51.8 High impact Miss
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Private House Approvals 2.8% -- -1.0% Low impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Building Approvals -1.1% 0.0% -3.4% High impact
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