Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast
Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.
1984Releases tracked
739High impact
293Beat forecast
232Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Impact level
How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.
Friday, July 3, 2026
4 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3:00 AM ET | 🇹🇷 Turkey | Turkish CPI YoY | 32.11% | 32.10% | 32.61% | High impact | Miss |
| 3:00 AM ET | 🇹🇷 Turkey | Turkish CPI MoM | 0.99% | 1.00% | 1.71% | High impact | Beat |
| 2:45 AM ET | 🇫🇷 France | French Industrial Production MoM | -0.1% | -0.4% | 0.1% | Medium impact | Beat |
| 2:00 AM ET | 🇳🇴 Norway | Norwegian Unemployment Rate NSA | 1.9% | -- | 1.9% | High impact |
Thursday, July 2, 2026
31 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9:45 PM ET | 🇨🇳 China | Chinese Services PMI | 54.1 | 53.0 | 54.4 | High impact | Beat |
| 8:30 PM ET | 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Services PMI | 52.2 | -- | 51.8 | High impact | |
| 8:30 PM ET | 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Composite PMI Final | 52.8 | -- | 52.5 | High impact | |
| 7:00 PM ET | 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Services PMI Final | 50.5 | -- | 49.9 | High impact | |
| 7:00 PM ET | 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Composite PMI Final | 50.4 | -- | 49.8 | High impact | |
| 1:00 PM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 445 | -- | 440 | Medium impact | |
| 1:00 PM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count | 580 | -- | 573 | Medium impact | |
| 11:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.720 | -- | 2.740 | Medium impact | |
| 11:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US 4-Week Bill High Yield | 3.605% | -- | 3.610% | Medium impact | |
| 10:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF | 87B | 84B | 76B | High impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Factory Orders MoM | -1.3% | -2.0% | 4.8% | Medium impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Core Durable Goods Revised | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | Medium impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Durable Goods Revised | -4.5% | -4.5% | -4.5% | Medium impact | |
| 9:30 AM ET | 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Manufacturing PMI | 53.0 | -- | 52.9 | High impact | |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Manufacturing Payrolls | 3k | 3k | 7k | Low impact | |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Initial Jobless Claims | 215k | 218k | 215k | Medium impact | Beat |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Government Payrolls | 8k | -- | 52k | Low impact | |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Nonfarm Payrolls | 57k | 113k | 172k | High impact | Miss |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Labor Force Participation | 61.5% | 61.8% | 61.8% | Low impact | |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Average Earnings YoY | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | High impact | |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Unemployment Rate | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | High impact | Beat |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Average Workweek Hrs | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.3 | Medium impact | |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Continued Jobless Claims | 1.814M | 1.82M | 1.821M | Medium impact | Beat |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Private Payrolls | 49k | 107k | 120k | Medium impact | |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Average Earnings MoM | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | Medium impact | |
| 5:00 AM ET | 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Unemployment Rate | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | High impact | Beat |
| 4:00 AM ET | 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Unemployment Rate | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | High impact | Beat |
| 2:45 AM ET | 🇫🇷 France | French Budget Balance | -93.31B | -- | -69.60B | Medium impact | |
| 2:30 AM ET | 🇨🇭 Switzerland | Swiss CPI MoM | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | High impact | Beat |
| 2:30 AM ET | 🇨🇭 Switzerland | Swiss Core CPI YoY | 0.7% | -- | 0.9% | High impact | |
| 2:30 AM ET | 🇨🇭 Switzerland | Swiss CPI YoY | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | High impact | In line |
Wednesday, July 1, 2026
5 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9:30 PM ET | 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Exports | -6.9% | -- | 7.2% | High impact | |
| 9:30 PM ET | 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Imports | 2.6% | -- | 0.8% | High impact | |
| 9:30 PM ET | 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Trade Balance | -3,018M | 2175M | 1,791M | High impact | Miss |
| 7:50 PM ET | 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds | -493.7B | -- | -1.0,057.3B | Medium impact | |
| 7:50 PM ET | 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Stock Investment | 147.7B | -- | 426.8B | Medium impact |
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