Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1984Releases tracked
745High impact
293Beat forecast
232Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Thursday, July 9, 2026

2 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Trade Balance SA 19.1B 14.8B 14.5B Medium impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Exports MoM SA 0.9% -0.4% 0.9% Medium impact

Wednesday, July 8, 2026

24 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese CPI MoM -0.3% -- -0.1% High impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese PPI YoY 4.1% 4.1% 3.9% High impact In line
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese CPI YoY 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% High impact Beat
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Bond Investment -218.1B -- -280.1B Medium impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Stock Investment 824.5B -- 147.7B Medium impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks -22.2B -- -1.0,816.5B Medium impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds -5.9B -- -493.7B Medium impact
7:01 PM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK RICS Housing Survey -33 -30 -35 Medium impact
6:30 PM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ New Zealand New Zealand Manufacturing PMI 59.7 -- 49.9 Medium impact
3:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Consumer Credit -0.18B 17.50B 20.73B Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 10-Year Note Bid-to-Cover 2.590 -- 2.570 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 10-Year Note High Yield 4.58% -- 4.538% Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Gasoline Inventories -1.904M -1.722M -2.333M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Crude Oil Inventories 2.998M -1.90M -3.775M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Distillate Inventories -4.980M 1.05M 2.483M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories -0.052M -- 0.709M Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Wholesale Sales MoM 3.4% 0.8% 2.0% High impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Wholesale Inventories MoM Revised 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% Medium impact
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate 6.58% -- 6.57% High impact
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US MBA Mortgage Applications -2.2% -- 0.0% Medium impact
5:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German 10 Yr Bund Yield 3.09% -- 3.06% Medium impact
5:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German 10 Yr Bund Bid-to-Cover 1 -- -- Medium impact
1:00 AM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Economy Watchers Poll 44.0 44.2 43.6 Low impact
12:30 AM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Netherlands Dutch Consumer Spending 1.8% -- 1.0% Low impact

Tuesday, July 7, 2026

14 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
10:00 PM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ New Zealand New Zealand Cash Rate 2.50% 2.50% 2.25% High impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Bank Lending YoY 5.7% -- 5.7% Low impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Current Account NSA Yen 3968.3B 4110.5B 3.0,907.8B High impact
7:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean Current Account Bal NSA 38.6074B -- 28.29B Low impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Gasoline Stock Change -2.929M -- -2.106M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Crude Oil Stock Change -0.399M -1.50M -6.072M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Cushing Stock Change -0.069M -- 0.503M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Distillate Stock Change -1.801M -- 2.90M High impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Year Note Bid-to-Cover 2.600 -- 2.640 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Year Note High Yield 4.179% -- 4.192% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 52-Week Bill High Yield 3.860% -- 3.750% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 52-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover 3.140 -- 3.340 Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian Ivey PMI 56.2 -- 58.2 Medium impact
8:55 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Redbook YoY 11.5% -- 10.5% Medium impact
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