Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1984Releases tracked
741High impact
293Beat forecast
234Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Monday, July 13, 2026

7 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
2:00 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Federal Budget Balance -120.00B -128.25B -293.00B Low impact
11:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 3.11 -- 3.050 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.84 -- 2.580 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 3-Month Bill High Yield 3.76% -- 3.735% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 6-Month Bill High Yield 3.86% -- 3.830% Medium impact
8:00 AM ET 🇩🇪 Germany German Current Account Balance NSA 10.4B -- 13.8B Low impact
12:30 AM ET 🇳🇱 Netherlands Dutch Trade Balance 6.655B -- 7.736B Medium impact

Friday, July 10, 2026

18 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
2:00 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States WASDE Corn End Stocks 1790.0M 1889.5M 1960.0M Low impact
2:00 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States WASDE Wheat End Stocks 722M 715M 744M Low impact
2:00 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States WASDE Cotton End Stocks 4.10M 3.75M 3.70M Low impact
2:00 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States WASDE Soybean End Stocks 310M 335M 310M Low impact
1:00 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 581 -- 580 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 445 -- 445 Medium impact
8:30 AM ET 🇨🇦 Canada Canadian Unemployment Rate 6.5% 6.6% 6.6% High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET 🇨🇦 Canada Canadian Participation Rate 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% High impact
8:30 AM ET 🇨🇦 Canada Canadian Employment Change 18.2k 10.0k 87.8k High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET 🇨🇦 Canada Canadian Building Permits MoM -1.7% 1.0% -7.6% Medium impact Miss
8:30 AM ET 🇨🇦 Canada Canadian Average Hourly Earnings YoY 3.70% 3.60% 3.20% High impact
4:00 AM ET 🇮🇹 Italy Italian Industrial Production MoM -0.3% -0.2% 0.5% Medium impact Miss
2:45 AM ET 🇫🇷 France French HICP YoY Final 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% High impact In line
2:45 AM ET 🇫🇷 France French HICP MoM Final -0.3% -0.3% -0.3% High impact In line
2:45 AM ET 🇫🇷 France French CPI MoM NSA -0.3% -0.2% -0.2% High impact Beat
2:45 AM ET 🇫🇷 France French CPI YoY NSA 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% High impact In line
2:00 AM ET 🇳🇴 Norway Norwegian CPI MoM -0.2% -- 0.2% High impact
2:00 AM ET 🇳🇴 Norway Norwegian CPI YoY 2.7% 3.1% 3.1% High impact Beat

Thursday, July 9, 2026

14 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
7:50 PM ET 🇯🇵 Japan Japanese PPI YoY 7.1% 6.8% 6.3% High impact Miss
7:50 PM ET 🇯🇵 Japan Japanese PPI MoM 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% High impact In line
1:00 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 30-Year Bond High Yield 5.058% -- 5.020% Medium impact
1:00 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 30-Year Bond Bid-to-Cover 2.440 -- 2.330 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.64 -- 2.720 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 4-Week Bill High Yield 3.63% -- 3.605% Medium impact
10:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF 61B 58B 87B High impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Existing Home Sales change -2.4% 1.0% 3.2% Medium impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Existing Home Sales 4.09M 4.20M 4.17M High impact
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Continued Jobless Claims 1.814M 1.814M 1.814M Medium impact In line
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Initial Jobless Claims 215K 217K 215K Medium impact Beat
2:00 AM ET 🇩🇪 Germany German Imports MoM SA -2.5% -0.8% 1.2% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET 🇩🇪 Germany German Exports MoM SA 0.9% -0.4% 0.9% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET 🇩🇪 Germany German Trade Balance SA 19.1B 14.8B 14.5B Medium impact Beat

Wednesday, July 8, 2026

1 release
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:30 PM ET 🇨🇳 China Chinese CPI YoY 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% High impact Beat
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