Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1984Releases tracked
741High impact
293Beat forecast
234Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Wednesday, July 15, 2026

5 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish HICP MoM Final 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% Medium impact In line
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish CPI YoY Final 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% High impact In line
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish HICP YoY Final 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% Medium impact In line
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden Swedish CPI YoY 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% High impact In line
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden Swedish CPI MoM 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% High impact In line

Tuesday, July 14, 2026

32 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
10:00 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese GDP YoY 4.3% 4.5% 5.0% High impact Miss
10:00 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese Unemployment Rate 5.000% 5.10% 5.100% High impact Beat
10:00 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese Urban Investment YTD YoY -5.7% -5.0% -4.1% Medium impact
10:00 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese Retail Sales YoY 1.0% -0.1% -0.6% High impact Beat
10:00 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese Industrial Output YoY 5.3% 4.6% 4.5% Medium impact Beat
10:00 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese GDP QoQ SA 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% High impact In line
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese New House Prices YoY -3.3% -- -3.5% Medium impact
8:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean Exports Revised 70.7% -- 70.9% Medium impact
8:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean Trade Balance Revised 36.09B -- 36.15B Medium impact
8:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean Imports Revised 30.0% -- 30.1% Medium impact
5:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean Export Price YoY 48.9% -- 46.9% Low impact
5:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean Import Price YoY 20.6% -- 24.8% Low impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Crude Oil Stock Change -0.564M -2.70M -0.399M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Gasoline Stock Change -1.664M -- -2.929M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Distillate Stock Change 2.30M -- -1.801M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Cushing Stock Change -0.238M -- -0.069M High impact
4:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Overall Net Capital Flows 132.2B -- 26.1B Low impact
4:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US TIC Long-Term Transactions 232.7B -- 103.1B Low impact
8:55 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Redbook YoY 8.2% -- 11.5% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US CPI YoY 3.5% 3.8% 4.2% High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US CPI MoM -0.4% -0.1% 0.5% High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Core CPI YoY 2.6% 2.8% 2.9% High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Core CPI MoM 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% High impact Beat
8:15 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US ADP Wkly Employment Change 19.75k -- 21.00k High impact
6:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US NFIB Business Optimism Index 97.40 95.70 95.30 Low impact
5:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German 2 Yr Schatz Yield 2.77% -- 2.57% Medium impact
5:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German 2 Yr Schatz Bid-to-Cover 1.1 -- 1.9 Medium impact
2:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Switzerland Swiss PPI YoY -2.1% -- -1.8% Medium impact
2:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Switzerland Swiss PPI MoM -0.3% -- -0.4% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Wholesale Price Index YoY 4.9% -- 5.9% Low impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Wholesale Price Index MoM -0.7% -- -0.6% Low impact
12:30 AM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Capacity Utilization MoM 0.1% -- -0.8% Medium impact

Monday, July 13, 2026

3 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian NAB Business Conditions 3 -- 3 Medium impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian NAB Business Confidence -5 -- -14 Medium impact
8:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Consumer Sentiment 4.1% -- -2.9% Low impact
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