Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1984Releases tracked
740High impact
291Beat forecast
229Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Thursday, July 16, 2026

9 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
5:00 AM ET 🇪🇺 Eurozone Eurozone Trade Balance NSA -5B -- 1B Low impact
5:00 AM ET 🇮🇹 Italy Italian International Trade Balance 4.793B -- 4.293B Low impact
4:00 AM ET 🇮🇹 Italy Italian HICP MoM Final 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% Medium impact Beat
4:00 AM ET 🇮🇹 Italy Italian CPI YoY Final 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% High impact In line
4:00 AM ET 🇮🇹 Italy Italian HICP YoY Final 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% Medium impact Beat
4:00 AM ET 🇮🇹 Italy Italian CPI MoM Final 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% High impact In line
2:00 AM ET 🇬🇧 United Kingdom UK Manufacturing Production MoM 0.1% -0.2% 0.4% High impact
2:00 AM ET 🇬🇧 United Kingdom UK Manufacturing Production YoY 2.3% -- 1.0% Medium impact
12:30 AM ET 🇳🇱 Netherlands Dutch Unemployment rate SA 3.8% 3.9% 3.9% High impact Beat

Wednesday, July 15, 2026

26 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:00 PM ET 🇰🇷 South Korea South Korean Bank of Korea Base Rate 2.75% 2.75% 2.50% High impact
10:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories 0.430M -- -0.052M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US EIA Distillate Inventories 4.556M -1.85M -4.980M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US EIA Crude Oil Inventories -1.692M -1.824M 2.998M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US EIA Gasoline Inventories -1.533M -2.00M -1.904M Medium impact
9:45 AM ET 🇨🇦 Canada Canadian BoC Rate Decision 2.25% 2.25% 2.25% High impact
8:30 AM ET 🇨🇦 Canada Canadian Manufacturing Sales MoM 1.3% 1.1% 4.2% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US PPI YoY 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% Medium impact Beat
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Core PPI MoM 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% Medium impact Beat
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US NY Fed Manufacturing 15.60 9.20 5.70 Medium impact
8:30 AM ET 🇨🇦 Canada Canadian Wholesale Sales MoM 0.0% -0.7% 0.6% High impact
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US PPI MoM -0.3% 0.0% 1.1% Medium impact Beat
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Core PPI YoY 4.7% 5.1% 4.9% Medium impact Beat
7:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US MBA Mortgage Applications -2.7% -- -2.2% Medium impact
7:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate 6.65% -- 6.58% High impact
5:30 AM ET 🇩🇪 Germany German 30 Yr Bund Bid-to-cover 2.886 -- -- Medium impact
5:30 AM ET 🇩🇪 Germany German 30 Yr Bund Yield 3.64 -- -- Medium impact
5:00 AM ET 🇪🇺 Eurozone Eurozone Industrial Production YoY -1.2% -0.4% 0.3% Medium impact Miss
5:00 AM ET 🇪🇺 Eurozone Eurozone Industrial Production MoM -0.2% 0.3% 0.1% Medium impact Miss
3:00 AM ET 🇪🇸 Spain Spanish CPI YoY Final 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% High impact In line
3:00 AM ET 🇪🇸 Spain Spanish HICP YoY Final 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% Medium impact In line
3:00 AM ET 🇪🇸 Spain Spanish CPI MoM Final 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% High impact In line
3:00 AM ET 🇪🇸 Spain Spanish Core CPI YoY 2.9% -- 3.0% High impact
3:00 AM ET 🇪🇸 Spain Spanish HICP MoM Final 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% Medium impact In line
2:00 AM ET 🇸🇪 Sweden Swedish CPI YoY 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% High impact In line
2:00 AM ET 🇸🇪 Sweden Swedish CPI MoM 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% High impact In line

Tuesday, July 14, 2026

5 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
10:00 PM ET 🇨🇳 China Chinese Urban Investment YTD YoY -5.7% -5.0% -4.1% Medium impact
10:00 PM ET 🇨🇳 China Chinese GDP QoQ SA 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% High impact In line
10:00 PM ET 🇨🇳 China Chinese Retail Sales YoY 1.0% -0.1% -0.6% High impact Beat
10:00 PM ET 🇨🇳 China Chinese Unemployment Rate 5.000% 5.10% 5.100% High impact Beat
10:00 PM ET 🇨🇳 China Chinese GDP YoY 4.3% 4.5% 5.0% High impact Miss
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