Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1984Releases tracked
739High impact
291Beat forecast
229Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Sunday, July 19, 2026

1 release
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:00 PM ET 🇨🇳 China Chinese PBoC Interest Rate 5 Yr 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% High impact

Friday, July 17, 2026

22 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
1:00 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 588 -- 581 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 452 -- 455 Medium impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US University Michigan 1 Yr Inflation Prelim 4.2% 4.4% 4.6% Medium impact Beat
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US University Michigan Sentiment Prelim 54.4 51.0 49.5 High impact Beat
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US University Michigan Expectations Prelim 54.0 51.9 50.7 Low impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US University Michigan Condition Prelim 54.9 48.7 47.7 Low impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US University Michigan 5 Yr Inflation Prelim 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% Medium impact In line
9:15 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Manufacturing Output MoM 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% Medium impact
9:15 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Industrial Production MoM 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% Medium impact Miss
9:15 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Capacity Utilization 76.1% 76.2% 76.2% Medium impact
9:15 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Industrial Production YoY 1.14% -- 1.67% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Housing Starts Change MoM 19.0% 11.2% -15.4% Low impact Beat
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Export Prices MoM -0.6% -0.7% 1.3% Low impact
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Import Prices MoM 0.3% -0.7% 1.9% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Building Permits 1.367M 1.403M 1.410M Medium impact Miss
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Housing Starts 1.427M 1.31M 1.177M High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Building Permits Change MoM -3.0% 0.1% -0.9% Low impact Miss
5:00 AM ET 🇪🇺 Eurozone Eurozone CPI MoM Final -0.1% -0.1% 0.1% High impact In line
5:00 AM ET 🇪🇺 Eurozone Eurozone Core CPI YoY Final 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% High impact In line
5:00 AM ET 🇪🇺 Eurozone Eurozone CPI YoY Final 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% High impact In line
4:00 AM ET 🇪🇺 Eurozone Eurozone Current Account NSA -6.20B -- 14.90B Medium impact
4:00 AM ET 🇪🇺 Eurozone Eurozone Current Account 25.100B -- 15.700B Medium impact

Thursday, July 16, 2026

17 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
11:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.570 -- 2.640 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 4-Week Bill High Yield 3.660% -- 3.630% Medium impact
10:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF 41B 39B 61B High impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Pending Home Sales Change MoM -5.4% -0.5% 3.8% High impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Business Inventories MoM 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% Medium impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US NAHB Housing Market Index 34 35 35 Medium impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Pending Homes Index 72.5 -- 76.8 Medium impact
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Initial Jobless Claims 208k 217k 215k Medium impact Beat
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Core Retail Sales MoM 0.2% 0.2% 0.9% High impact In line
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Retail Sales YoY 6.72% -- 6.88% High impact
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Philly Fed Business Index 41.4 12.5 10.3 High impact
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Continued Jobless Claims 1.805M 1.8175M 1.814M Medium impact Beat
8:15 AM ET 🇨🇦 Canada Canadian House Starts, Annualized 239.0k 255.0k 261.4k Medium impact
5:00 AM ET 🇮🇹 Italy Italian International Trade Balance 4.793B -- 4.293B Low impact
5:00 AM ET 🇪🇺 Eurozone Eurozone Trade Balance NSA -5B -- 1B Low impact
4:00 AM ET 🇮🇹 Italy Italian CPI YoY Final 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% High impact In line
4:00 AM ET 🇮🇹 Italy Italian HICP YoY Final 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% Medium impact Beat
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