Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1983Releases tracked
739High impact
291Beat forecast
229Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Tuesday, July 21, 2026

23 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
5:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean PPI YoY 8.6% -- 8.5% Medium impact
5:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean PPI MoM 0.0% -- 0.8% Medium impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Cushing Stock Change -0.737M -- -0.238M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Distillate Stock Change 1.759M -- 2.30M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Gasoline Stock Change -1.379M -- -1.664M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Crude Oil Stock Change 2.60M -1.50M -0.564M High impact
8:55 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Redbook YoY 7.8% -- 8.2% Medium impact
8:15 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US ADP Wkly Employment Change 16.50k -- 19.75k High impact
5:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German 5 Yr Bobl Bid-to-Cover 1.5 -- 1.6 Low impact
5:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German 5 Yr Bobl Yield 2.89% -- 2.64% Low impact
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German ZEW Economic Sentiment 26.3 15.3 10.5 Medium impact Beat
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK 3 Yr Gilt Bid-to-Cover 3.42 -- 3.61 Medium impact
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German ZEW Current Conditions -77.6 -77.7 -81.0 Medium impact
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone ZEW Survey Expectations 23.4 -- 9.5 Medium impact
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK 3 Yr Gilt Yield 4.463% -- 4.062% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Unemployment Rate 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% High impact In line
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK PSNB ex Banks 15.989B -- 23.294B Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Unemployment Change 6.7k 29.4k 31.2k High impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Employment Change SA -4k -8k 2k High impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Switzerland Swiss Trade Balance 5,224M -- 6,110M Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Average Earnings (Ex-Bonus) 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Average Weekly Earnings YoY 4.3% 4.5% 4.4% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Employment Change 3M/3M 147k 80k 100k High impact Beat

Monday, July 20, 2026

16 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Bill High Yield 3.835% -- 3.860% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.940 -- 3.110 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 3.000 -- 2.840 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Bill High Yield 3.730% -- 3.760% Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Leading Index Change MoM -0.2% -0.1% 0.1% Low impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian Core CPI MoM 0.2% -- 0.2% High impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian CPI YoY 2.8% 2.9% 3.2% High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian BoC Core CPI YoY 2.1% -- 2.2% High impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian CPI Median 1.9% 2.1% 2.1% High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian CPI MoM -0.4% -0.2% 1.0% High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian CPI Trim 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian BoC Core CPI MoM 0.1% -- 0.6% High impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian CPI Common 2.6% -- 2.7% High impact
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Construction Output MoM 0.38% -- 0.57% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German PPI YoY 1.8% 1.8% 2.2% Medium impact In line
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German PPI MoM -0.3% -0.3% 0.3% Medium impact In line

Sunday, July 19, 2026

1 release
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:00 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese PBoC Interest Rate 1 Yr 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% High impact
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