Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1984Releases tracked
737High impact
292Beat forecast
232Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Tuesday, July 28, 2026

4 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish Retail Sales YoY SA 0.5% -- 1.3% High impact
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish Unemployment Rate 9.87% 10.10% 10.83% High impact Beat
2:45 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French Consumer Confidence 86 85 84 Medium impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden Swedish Trade Balance 2.6B -- 2.9B Medium impact

Monday, July 27, 2026

19 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 3.060 -- 3.000 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 5-Year Note Bid-to-Cover 2.280 -- 2.350 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Bill High Yield 3.815% -- 3.730% Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 5-Year Note High Yield 4.408% -- 4.200% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 3.120 -- 2.940 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Bill High Yield 3.945% -- 3.835% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 2-Year Note Bid-to-Cover 2.660 -- 2.640 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 2-Year Note High Yield 4.315% -- 4.189% Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Dallas Fed Mfg. Bus. Index 1.30 2.00 0.00 Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Core Durable Goods 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Durable Goods 0.3% 1.8% -4.5% Medium impact
6:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK CBI Distributive Trades -26 -47 -54 Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German IFO Current Conditions 86.5 87.3 87.0 Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Loans to Households 3.0% -- 3.1% Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Money-M3 Annual Growth 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Loans to Non Financial Firms 4.0% -- 4.0% Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German IFO Expectations 86.7 84.8 84.1 Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German IFO Business Climate 86.6 86.0 85.6 Medium impact
1:00 AM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Leading Indicator Change Rev. 0.4 -- 0.7 High impact

Sunday, July 26, 2026

1 release
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese Industrial profit YTD 18.7% -- 18.8% Medium impact

Friday, July 24, 2026

16 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 587 -- 588 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 450 -- 452 Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US New Home Sales - Units 0.628M 0.607M 0.580M Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US New Home Sales Change MoM 1.6% 4.8% -7.3% Low impact
9:45 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US S&P Manufacturing PMI Flash 53.8 54.4 53.9 Medium impact Miss
9:45 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US S&P Services PMI Flash 53.6 51.5 51.2 Medium impact Beat
9:45 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US S&P Composite PMI Flash 53.6 52.2 51.9 Medium impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian PPI YoY 12.4% -- 13.6% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian RMPI MoM -6.9% -1.3% 0.7% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian PPI MoM -1.4% -0.4% 1.2% Medium impact Beat
6:30 AM ET πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Russia Russian Interest Rate Decision 14.00% 14.25% 14.25% High impact
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Services PMI Flash 51.8 49.4 48.8 Medium impact Beat
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Composite PMI Flash 52.1 49.8 49.3 Medium impact Beat
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Manufacturing PMI Flash 52.8 52.0 52.5 Medium impact Beat
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Flash 52.0 51.5 51.4 Medium impact Beat
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Composite PMI Flash 51.9 50.2 50.0 Medium impact Beat
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