Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1984Releases tracked
736High impact
292Beat forecast
234Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Friday, July 31, 2026

11 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian GDP MoM 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Employment Costs 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% Medium impact
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone CPI YoY Flash 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% High impact In line
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Core CPI YoY Flash 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% High impact Miss
2:45 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French HICP MoM Prelim 0.6% 0.3% -0.3% High impact Miss
2:45 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French HICP YoY Prelim 2.4% 2.0% 2.0% High impact Miss
2:45 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French CPI MoM NSA Prelim 0.6% 0.3% -0.3% High impact Miss
2:45 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French CPI YoY NSA Prelim 2.1% 1.8% 1.8% High impact Miss
2:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Switzerland Swiss Retail Sales YoY 1.5% -- 3.5% High impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡΄ Norway Norwegian Unemployment Rate NSA 2.1% -- 1.9% High impact
1:00 AM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Housing Starts YoY 18.6% 12.7% 33.9% Medium impact Beat

Thursday, July 30, 2026

29 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
11:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese BoJ Rate Decision 1% 1% 1% High impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Private Sector Credit 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% Medium impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI 49.0 50.0 50.2 Medium impact Miss
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian PPI QoQ 1.3% -- 0.4% Medium impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese NBS Manufacturing PMI 49.2 50.1 50.3 Medium impact Miss
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese Composite PMI 49.3 -- 50.6 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 4-Week Bill High Yield 3.630% -- 3.730% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.800 -- 2.790 Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF 28B 35B 32B High impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US PCE Price Index MoM -0.1% -0.1% 0.4% Medium impact In line
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Initial Jobless Claims 197k 200k 187k Medium impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US PCE Prices Advance 5.1% -- 4.6% Low impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US GDP Deflator SA Advance 6.3% -- 3.6% Low impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US GDP QoQ Advance 1.5% 2.0% 2.1% High impact Miss
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Continued Jobless Claims 1.782M 1.795M 1.796M Medium impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Core PCE Prices Advance 3.4% 3.5% 4.4% Medium impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Real Personal Consumption MoM 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US PCE Price Index YoY 3.7% 3.7% 4.1% Medium impact In line
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Core PCE Price Index MoM 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% Medium impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Consumer Spending MoM 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Core PCE Price Index YoY 3.3% 3.3% 3.4% Medium impact In line
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US GDP Price Index 6.2% 4.0% 3.6% High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Personal Income MoM 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% Medium impact
8:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German HICP MoM Prelim 0.90% 0.80% -0.20% Medium impact Miss
8:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German CPI MoM Prelim 0.80% 0.70% -0.30% High impact Miss
8:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German HICP YoY Prelim 2.80% 2.80% 2.40% Medium impact In line
8:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German CPI YoY Prelim 2.80% 2.70% 2.30% High impact Miss
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK BoE MPC Vote Hike 3 2 2 Medium impact
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK BoE MPC Vote Cut 0 0 0 Medium impact
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