Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast
Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.
1984Releases tracked
736High impact
292Beat forecast
234Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Impact level
How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.
Monday, August 3, 2026
25 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:00 PM ET | π°π· South Korea | South Korean CPI MoM | -0.20% | -0.10% | 0.10% | High impact | Beat |
| 7:00 PM ET | π°π· South Korea | South Korean CPI YoY | 2.80% | 3.00% | 3.20% | High impact | Beat |
| 11:30 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill High Yield | 3.750% | -- | 3.815% | Medium impact | |
| 11:30 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.980 | -- | 3.120 | Medium impact | |
| 11:30 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.610 | -- | 3.060 | Medium impact | |
| 11:30 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill High Yield | 3.855% | -- | 3.945% | Medium impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US Construction Spending MoM | -0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | Medium impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US ISM Mfg. Prices Paid | 71.1 | 71.0 | 73.0 | Medium impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US ISM Mfg. Employment Index | 52.8 | 50.0 | 49.7 | Low impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US ISM Mfg. New Orders Index | 56.7 | 56.7 | 56.0 | Low impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US ISM Manufacturing PMI | 55.6 | 53.9 | 53.3 | High impact | Beat |
| 9:45 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US S&P Manufacturing PMI Final | 53.9 | 53.8 | 53.8 | High impact | Beat |
| 4:30 AM ET | π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Manufacturing PMI Final | 51.9 | 52.8 | 52.8 | High impact | Miss |
| 4:00 AM ET | πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Final | 51.9 | 52.0 | 52.0 | High impact | Miss |
| 3:55 AM ET | π©πͺ Germany | German Manufacturing PMI Final | 52.2 | 52.2 | 52.2 | High impact | In line |
| 3:50 AM ET | π«π· France | French Manufacturing PMI | 49.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | High impact | Miss |
| 3:30 AM ET | π¨π Switzerland | Swiss Manufacturing PMI | 53.2 | 54.9 | 54.3 | Medium impact | Miss |
| 3:15 AM ET | πͺπΈ Spain | Spanish Manufacturing PMI | 50.2 | 50.3 | 49.7 | Medium impact | Miss |
| 3:00 AM ET | πΉπ· Turkey | Turkish CPI MoM | 1.78% | 1.96% | 0.99% | High impact | Beat |
| 3:00 AM ET | πΉπ· Turkey | Turkish CPI YoY | 31.75% | 31.93% | 32.11% | High impact | Beat |
| 2:30 AM ET | π¨π Switzerland | Swiss CPI YoY | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | High impact | In line |
| 2:30 AM ET | π¨π Switzerland | Swiss CPI MoM | -0.1% | -0.1% | 0.0% | High impact | In line |
| 2:00 AM ET | π©πͺ Germany | German Real Retail Sales YoY | -0.2% | -- | 1.8% | Medium impact | |
| 2:00 AM ET | π©πͺ Germany | German Real Retail Sales MoM | -1.1% | -0.3% | 1.1% | Medium impact | Miss |
| 12:30 AM ET | π³π± Netherlands | Dutch Retail Sales YoY | 4.3% | -- | 1.2% | High impact |
Sunday, August 2, 2026
3 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9:45 PM ET | π¨π³ China | Chinese Manufacturing PMI | 50.9 | 52.0 | 51.7 | High impact | Miss |
| 8:30 PM ET | π°π· South Korea | South Korean Manufacturing PMI | 53.1 | -- | 52.1 | High impact | |
| 8:30 PM ET | π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Mfg PMI | 54.5 | -- | 54.7 | High impact |
Friday, July 31, 2026
12 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8:00 PM ET | π°π· South Korea | South Korean Imports Prelim | 26.5% | 27.9% | 30.0% | Medium impact | |
| 8:00 PM ET | π°π· South Korea | South Korean Trade Balance Prelim | 30.32B | 29.487B | 36.09B | Medium impact | Beat |
| 8:00 PM ET | π°π· South Korea | South Korean Exports Prelim | 62.8% | 60.6% | 70.7% | Medium impact | |
| 1:00 PM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count | 588 | -- | 587 | Medium impact | |
| 1:00 PM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 451 | -- | 450 | Medium impact | |
| 11:00 AM ET | π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian Budget Balance | -0.31B | -- | -1.05B | Medium impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan Expectations Final | 55.4 | 53.5 | 54.0 | Medium impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan Conditions Final | 54.8 | 54.6 | 54.9 | Medium impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan 1 Yr Inflation Final | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | Medium impact | Beat |
| 10:00 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan 5 Yr Inflation Final | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | Medium impact | In line |
| 10:00 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan Sentiment Final | 55.2 | 54.0 | 54.4 | Medium impact | Beat |
| 9:45 AM ET | πΊπΈ United States | US Chicago PMI | 57.6 | 56.0 | 56.7 | Medium impact | Beat |
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