Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1984Releases tracked
737High impact
296Beat forecast
234Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Sunday, June 21, 2026

1 release
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:00 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese PBoC Interest Rate 5 Yr 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% High impact

Friday, June 19, 2026

10 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian Core Retail Sales MoM 0.1% 0.8% 1.4% High impact Miss
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian Retail Sales MoM 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% High impact Miss
6:30 AM ET πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Russia Russian Interest Rate Decision 14.25% 14.00% 14.50% High impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Core Retail Sales MoM 1.2% 0.3% -0.4% High impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK PSNB ex Banks 23.294B -- 24.343B Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Retail Sales YoY 3.2% 1.8% 0.0% High impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Retail Sales MoM 1.2% 0.5% -1.3% High impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Core Retail Sales YoY 4.6% 3.1% 1.1% High impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German PPI MoM 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% Medium impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German PPI YoY 2.2% 2.5% 1.7% Medium impact Beat

Thursday, June 18, 2026

29 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
7:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Core CPI Nationwide YoY 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% High impact In line
7:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese CPI Overall Nationwide 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% High impact In line
7:01 PM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK GfK Consumer Confidence -23 -23 -23 Medium impact In line
6:45 PM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ New Zealand New Zealand Trade Balance 800M -- 1,920.0M Medium impact
5:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean PPI YoY 8.5% -- 6.9% Medium impact
5:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean PPI MoM 0.8% -- 2.5% Medium impact
4:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US TIC Long-Term Transactions 103.1B -- 81.3B Low impact
4:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Overall Net Capital Flows 26.1B -- 150.7B Low impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 563 -- 562 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 5-Year TIPS High Yield 1.955% -- 1.367% Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 433 -- 433 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 5-Year TIPS Bid-to-Cover 2.610 -- 2.570 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 4-Week Bill High Yield 3.580% -- 3.595% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.990 -- 3.130 Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF 73B 76B 108B High impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Leading Index Change MoM 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% Low impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian PPI MoM 1.2% 1.0% 2.0% Medium impact Miss
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian RMPI MoM 0.7% 1.1% 2.6% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Philly Fed Business Index 10.3 10.0 -0.4 High impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Continued Jobless Claims 1.810M 1.789M 1.795M Medium impact Miss
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian PPI YoY 13.6% -- 11.4% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Initial Jobless Claims 226k 225k 229k Medium impact Miss
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK BoE MPC Vote Unchanged 7 7 8 Medium impact
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK BoE MPC Vote Hike 2 2 1 Medium impact
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian Business Barometer 49.55 -- 46.26 Medium impact
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK BoE Bank Rate 3.75% 3.75% 3.75% High impact
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK BoE MPC Vote Cut 0 0 0 Medium impact
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Construction Output MoM 0.57% -- 0.78% Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Current Account NSA 14.90B -- 24.10B Medium impact
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