Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1984Releases tracked
737High impact
296Beat forecast
234Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Tuesday, June 30, 2026

5 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Business Investment QoQ 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Real Retail Sales MoM 1.1% 0.0% -0.3% Medium impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Current Account -22.134B -21.30B -18.392B Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK GDP QoQ 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% High impact In line
1:00 AM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Housing Starts YoY 33.9% 31.8% 11.4% Medium impact Beat

Monday, June 29, 2026

29 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Private Sector Credit 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% Medium impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese NBS Manufacturing PMI 50.3 50.1 50.0 Medium impact Beat
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Housing Credit 0.5% -- 0.6% Medium impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI 50.2 49.9 50.1 Medium impact Beat
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese Composite PMI 50.6 -- 50.5 Medium impact
9:00 PM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ New Zealand New Zealand NBNZ Own Activity 36.9 -- 25.6 Medium impact
9:00 PM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ New Zealand New Zealand NBNZ Business Outlook 36.6 -- 10.0 Medium impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Industrial Output MoM Prelim SA 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% Medium impact Miss
7:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Jobs/Applicants Ratio 1.17 1.18 1.18 Medium impact
7:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Unemployment Rate 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% High impact In line
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.320 -- 2.680 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Bill High Yield 3.840% -- 3.840% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.580 -- 2.510 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Bill High Yield 3.740% -- 3.695% Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Dallas Fed Mfg. Bus. Index 0.00 1.00 0.40 Medium impact
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK BoE Consumer Credit 1.662B 1.80B 1.859B Medium impact
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Mortgage Approvals 56.205k 63.00k 65.945k Medium impact
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Mortgage Lending 2.889B 4.20B 4.368B Medium impact
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK M4 Money Supply 0.1% -- 0.2% Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Money-M3 Annual Growth 3.2% 2.7% 2.7% Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Loans to Households 3.1% -- 3.0% Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Loans to Non Financial Firms 4.0% -- 3.4% Medium impact
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish CPI YoY Flash 3.2% 3.0% 3.2% High impact Miss
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish Retail Sales YoY SA 1.3% -- 0.8% High impact
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish HICP MoM Flash 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% Medium impact In line
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish CPI MoM Flash 0.60% 0.40% 0.10% High impact Miss
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish HICP YoY Flash 3.6% 3.4% 3.6% Medium impact Miss
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden Swedish Trade Balance 2.9B -- -7.3B Medium impact
12:30 AM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Netherlands Dutch Manufacturing Confidence 1.3 -- -2.0 Low impact

Friday, June 26, 2026

6 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese Industrial profit YTD 18.8% -- 18.2% Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 573 -- 563 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 440 -- 433 Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US University Michigan 5 Yr Inflation Final 3.3% 3.3% 3.4% Medium impact In line
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US University Michigan Expectations Final 50.7 49.6 49.3 Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US University Michigan Conditions Final 47.7 49.0 48.4 Medium impact
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