Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast
Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.
1984Releases tracked
739High impact
292Beat forecast
234Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Impact level
How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.
Friday, August 7, 2026
1 release| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:00 AM ET | 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Leading Indicator Change | 0.0 | -- | 0.4 | Low impact |
Thursday, August 6, 2026
19 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:30 PM ET | 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese All Household Spending YoY | -3.3% | 0.9% | -0.4% | Medium impact | |
| 11:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US 4-Week Bill High Yield | 3.640% | -- | 3.630% | Medium impact | |
| 11:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.680 | -- | 2.800 | Medium impact | |
| 10:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF | 33B | 30B | 28B | High impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Wholesale Inventories MoM Revised | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | Medium impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Wholesale Sales MoM | -3.0% | -- | 3.4% | High impact | |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Initial Jobless Claims | 199k | 205k | 197k | Medium impact | Beat |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Unit Labor Costs Prelim | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | Medium impact | |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Productivity Prelim | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | Medium impact | |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Continued Jobless Claims | 1.801M | 1.789M | 1.782M | Medium impact | Miss |
| 5:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Challenger Layoffs | 33.429k | -- | 45.849k | Low impact | |
| 5:00 AM ET | 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Retail Sales YoY | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | High impact | Miss |
| 5:00 AM ET | 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Retail Sales MoM | -0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | High impact | Miss |
| 4:30 AM ET | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Construction PMI | 44.7 | 40.0 | 38.4 | Medium impact | Beat |
| 4:00 AM ET | 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Industrial Production MoM | -1.0% | 0.3% | -0.3% | Medium impact | Miss |
| 3:00 AM ET | 🇨🇭 Switzerland | Swiss Unemployment Rate Adjusted | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | Medium impact | In line |
| 3:00 AM ET | 🇨🇭 Switzerland | Swiss Unemployment Rate Unadjusted | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | Low impact | In line |
| 2:00 AM ET | 🇩🇪 Germany | German Industrial Orders MoM | 3.1% | 0.5% | 1.9% | High impact | |
| 12:30 AM ET | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch Consumer Spending | 1.7% | -- | 1.8% | Low impact |
Wednesday, August 5, 2026
20 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9:30 PM ET | 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Imports | -0.2% | -- | 2.6% | High impact | |
| 9:30 PM ET | 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Exports | 9.6% | -- | -6.9% | High impact | |
| 9:30 PM ET | 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Trade Balance | 1,929M | -1080M | -3,018M | High impact | Beat |
| 7:50 PM ET | 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks | -392.5B | -- | 912.1B | Medium impact | |
| 7:50 PM ET | 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Stock Investment | -276.4B | -- | 320.2B | Medium impact | |
| 7:50 PM ET | 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Bond Investment | 477.9B | -- | -811.4B | Medium impact | |
| 7:00 PM ET | 🇰🇷 South Korea | South Korean Current Account Bal NSA | 49.7304B | -- | 38.61B | Low impact | |
| 10:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Distillate Inventories | -3.473M | 0.419M | 1.062M | Medium impact | |
| 10:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Oil Inventories | 2.479M | -1.50M | -7.167M | Medium impact | |
| 10:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Gasoline Inventories | -1.643M | -1.45M | 0.007M | Medium impact | |
| 10:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories | 2.356M | -- | -0.771M | Medium impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US ISM Services PMI | 54.1 | 54.5 | 54.0 | High impact | Miss |
| 10:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US ISM Services Employment | 47.4 | 51.2 | 51.2 | Low impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US ISM Services New Orders | 57.2 | 55.9 | 55.1 | Low impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US ISM Services Prices Paid | 70.3 | 65.0 | 67.7 | Low impact | |
| 9:45 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US S&P Composite PMI Final | 54.5 | -- | 53.6 | High impact | |
| 9:45 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US S&P Services PMI Final | 54.6 | 53.6 | 53.6 | High impact | Beat |
| 8:15 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US ADP Employment Change | 44k | 65k | 98k | Medium impact | Miss |
| 7:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 6.81% | -- | 6.76% | High impact | |
| 7:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA Mortgage Applications | -2.9% | -- | -6.4% | Medium impact |
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