Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast
Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.
1984Releases tracked
737High impact
290Beat forecast
234Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Impact level
How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.
Wednesday, August 12, 2026
21 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 PM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | WASDE Wheat End Stocks | 717M | 720M | 722M | Low impact | |
| 10:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories | 1.611M | -- | 2.356M | Medium impact | |
| 10:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Oil Inventories | 17.423M | -1.80M | 2.479M | Medium impact | |
| 10:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Gasoline Inventories | -0.968M | -1.10M | -1.643M | Medium impact | |
| 10:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Distillate Inventories | -0.010M | -2.00M | -3.473M | Medium impact | |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Building Permits MoM | 18.5% | 0.8% | -1.7% | Medium impact | Beat |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Core CPI YoY | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | High impact | In line |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US CPI YoY | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | High impact | In line |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Core CPI MoM | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | High impact | In line |
| 8:30 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US CPI MoM | 0.1% | 0.1% | -0.4% | High impact | In line |
| 8:00 AM ET | 🇩🇪 Germany | German Current Account Balance NSA | 19.0B | -- | 10.4B | Low impact | |
| 7:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA Mortgage Applications | 3.6% | -- | -2.9% | Medium impact | |
| 7:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 6.77% | -- | 6.81% | High impact | |
| 4:00 AM ET | 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI MoM Final | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | High impact | Miss |
| 4:00 AM ET | 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI YoY Final | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | High impact | Miss |
| 4:00 AM ET | 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian HICP MoM Final | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.0% | Medium impact | In line |
| 4:00 AM ET | 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian HICP YoY Final | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | Medium impact | In line |
| 2:00 AM ET | 🇩🇪 Germany | German HICP MoM Final | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | Medium impact | In line |
| 2:00 AM ET | 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI MoM Final | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | High impact | In line |
| 2:00 AM ET | 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI YoY Final | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | High impact | In line |
| 2:00 AM ET | 🇩🇪 Germany | German HICP YoY Final | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | Medium impact | In line |
Tuesday, August 11, 2026
19 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:00 PM ET | 🇰🇷 South Korea | South Korean Unemployment Rate | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | High impact | Miss |
| 4:30 PM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US API Distillate Stock Change | -0.596M | -- | -1.20M | High impact | |
| 4:30 PM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US API Cushing Stock Change | 1.571M | -- | 2.40M | High impact | |
| 4:30 PM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US API Crude Oil Stock Change | 9.072M | -0.50M | 2.70M | High impact | |
| 4:30 PM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | -1.531M | -- | 0.20M | High impact | |
| 1:00 PM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US 3-Year Note Bid-to-Cover | 2.710 | -- | 2.600 | Medium impact | |
| 1:00 PM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US 3-Year Note High Yield | 4.291% | -- | 4.179% | Medium impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Existing Home Sales change | -1.7% | -1.0% | -2.4% | Medium impact | |
| 10:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Existing Home Sales | 4.06M | 4.05M | 4.09M | High impact | |
| 8:55 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US Redbook YoY | 8.3% | -- | 8.7% | Medium impact | |
| 8:15 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US ADP Wkly Employment Change | 8.25k | -- | 15.00k | High impact | |
| 6:00 AM ET | 🇺🇸 United States | US NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.80 | 97.50 | 97.40 | Low impact | |
| 5:30 AM ET | 🇩🇪 Germany | German 5 Yr Bobl Bid-to-Cover | 1.5 | -- | 1.5 | Low impact | |
| 5:30 AM ET | 🇩🇪 Germany | German 5 Yr Bobl Yield | 2.93% | -- | 2.89% | Low impact | |
| 4:00 AM ET | 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian International Trade Balance | 4.232B | -- | 4.793B | Low impact | |
| 4:00 AM ET | 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Trade Balance EU | 1.577B | -- | 0.845B | Low impact | |
| 12:30 AM ET | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch CPI YoY | 3.2% | -- | 2.9% | High impact | |
| 12:30 AM ET | 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Cash Rate | 4.35% | 4.35% | 4.35% | High impact | |
| 12:30 AM ET | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch CPI MoM | 1.6% | -- | -0.6% | High impact |
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